How do you sniff out a better hand?
Monday, January 11, 2010
3:22 PM
In an unraised pot pre flop (10/20 game), you have
A  9 at late position with 3 other people, including the SB and the BB. The flop shows
It was checked around to you. Hitting the Ace, you make an almost pot size bet of 70. Two players flat calls. Now you're assuming that one guy has a draw, while the other probably has a weak Ace.Turn card shows a
K 
You now have the nut flush draw and Top pair with a pretty decent kicker. You fired again at the pot with a bet of 160. The first guy folds, while the other guy tanks, then Calls. You are almost sure that he doesn't have an AK 'coz he would have raised preflop, and you are still putting this guy on a draw or a weak Ace. River showed a
10 
If he was on a draw, then he missed his straight. If he had a weak Ace, then your 9 would most likely be good. So you fire a value bet of 250 at the pot. He comes back over the top with an 800 bet! WTF!! Did he actually held on to 10's and hit trips at the river? Ace 10 giving him 2 pairs? Did he already have 2 pairs on the flop (he should have raised at the flop or at the turn)? QJ for a straight? or is this a Bluff bet?? You fired in all streets, so is it possible that the 10 helped him?
In this particular situation, I was the guy who kept on calling. My hand was
K  10 
Why? First, I didn't give him credit for hitting the Ace on the flop, and I figured that he was just trying to steal the pot. True, I didn't hit the board as well, but I thought of floating and make a play at the turn. When the K showed at the turn, that card helped me. His 160 bet at the turn just gave me 3 to 1 to my money to call. The river card gave me 2 pairs. I knew I was good and that a raise would surely be paid off as he would assume that I am making a bluff bet on a missed draw. True enough I got paid off.
Replaying the hand in my head, I ask myself, how could I sniff out a better hand if I were the guy who had A 9? How could the guy improve the way he played the hand? Trust me, its best to figure out situations like these 'coz hands like these can break one's backroll just like that.
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